RESEARCH BRIEFS

Published research from
the Institute.

Summaries of ongoing work at the intersection of complexity science, evolutionary biology, and organizational adaptation.

All AI Acceleration Applied Hypernovelty Evolutionary Mismatch Organizational Adaptation Policy & Governance
Applied Hypernovelty May 12, 2026

The Hypernovelty Gap in Professional Foresight

What the foresight field is missing, why it matters, and what a hypernovelty lens changes

Professional foresight has produced half a century of rigorous methodology for thinking about futures. Scenario planning, horizon scanning, Delphi method, backcasting — the toolkit is sophisticated and well-documented. What it lacks is a framework for the specific condition of the present: an environment in which the rate of novelty is itself the primary variable. This is the hypernovelty gap.

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Applied Hypernovelty May 12, 2026

Applied Hypernovelty: What It Means in Practice

Bridging complexity science, organizational behavior, and novelty navigation into a working framework

The foresight industry produces awareness. Complexity science produces theory. Between them lies an empty space: a practical methodology for organizations that need to navigate conditions of compounding novelty without dissolving into chaos or freezing into rigidity. Applied hypernovelty is what fills that space.

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